Current atmospheric conditions in Shenzhen, with high humidity near 85%, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling on September 7, 2026, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius. Official station data and model runs show the overnight low stabilizing near 26–27°C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where average September lows hover around 24–25°C but can remain elevated without strong frontal passages. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 27°C at 72% because recent hourly observations confirm the warmest minimum of the day aligns with this threshold, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected surge of cooler northerly air. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine any final adjustments before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 7?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,766 Vol.
$1,766 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$1,766 Vol.
$1,766 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Vol.
No
23°C
$169 Vol.
No
24°C
$60 Vol.
No
25°C
$164 Vol.
No
26°C
$138 Vol.
No
27°C
$865 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$45 Vol.
No
29°C
$60 Vol.
No
30°C
$45 Vol.
No
31°C
$45 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$70 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions in Shenzhen, with high humidity near 85%, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling on September 7, 2026, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius. Official station data and model runs show the overnight low stabilizing near 26–27°C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where average September lows hover around 24–25°C but can remain elevated without strong frontal passages. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 27°C at 72% because recent hourly observations confirm the warmest minimum of the day aligns with this threshold, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected surge of cooler northerly air. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine any final adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,766End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions in Shenzhen, with high humidity near 85%, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling on September 7, 2026, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius. Official station data and model runs show the overnight low stabilizing near 26–27°C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where average September lows hover around 24–25°C but can remain elevated without strong frontal passages. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 27°C at 72% because recent hourly observations confirm the warmest minimum of the day aligns with this threshold, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected surge of cooler northerly air. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine any final adjustments before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,766End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current atmospheric conditions in Shenzhen, with high humidity near 85%, light southerly winds, and persistent cloud cover, have limited overnight radiative cooling on September 7, 2026, keeping minimum temperatures in the mid-20s Celsius. Official station data and model runs show the overnight low stabilizing near 26–27°C, consistent with late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns where average September lows hover around 24–25°C but can remain elevated without strong frontal passages. Trader-implied odds heavily favor 27°C at 72% because recent hourly observations confirm the warmest minimum of the day aligns with this threshold, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an unexpected surge of cooler northerly air. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine any final adjustments before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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