**Persistent anomalous warmth from a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow is keeping Dallas overnight lows elevated well above the 72°F climatological average.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light south winds on the night of September 9–10, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Forecasts cluster around 78–82°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 80–81°F (42.5% implied probability) and 82–83°F (33.5%). Minor differences among guidance stem from subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more or less cooling. With resolution imminent, traders are closely watching the latest model runs and official NWS updates for any shifts in the expected minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 10?
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 33%
78-79°F 16%
71°F or below 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
15%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
15%
90°F or higher
15%
80-81°F 43%
82-83°F 33%
78-79°F 16%
71°F or below 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
15%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$55 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
16%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
14%
88-89°F
$17 Vol.
15%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent anomalous warmth from a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow is keeping Dallas overnight lows elevated well above the 72°F climatological average.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light south winds on the night of September 9–10, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Forecasts cluster around 78–82°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 80–81°F (42.5% implied probability) and 82–83°F (33.5%). Minor differences among guidance stem from subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more or less cooling. With resolution imminent, traders are closely watching the latest model runs and official NWS updates for any shifts in the expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$76End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent anomalous warmth from a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow is keeping Dallas overnight lows elevated well above the 72°F climatological average.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light south winds on the night of September 9–10, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Forecasts cluster around 78–82°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 80–81°F (42.5% implied probability) and 82–83°F (33.5%). Minor differences among guidance stem from subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more or less cooling. With resolution imminent, traders are closely watching the latest model runs and official NWS updates for any shifts in the expected minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent anomalous warmth from a strong upper-level ridge and southerly flow is keeping Dallas overnight lows elevated well above the 72°F climatological average.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light south winds on the night of September 9–10, limiting radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s. Forecasts cluster around 78–82°F, aligning with the market’s leading bins of 80–81°F (42.5% implied probability) and 82–83°F (33.5%). Minor differences among guidance stem from subtle variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture that could allow slightly more or less cooling. With resolution imminent, traders are closely watching the latest model runs and official NWS updates for any shifts in the expected minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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