Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's September 11 high will likely reach 29–31°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current conditions show daily maxima near 28–30°C under high humidity and light southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for the peak rainy period. Trader consensus clusters around these values because monsoon-enhanced moisture and recent trough influences from ex-Tropical Cyclone Krovanh suppress extreme daytime warming, while any brief clearing could push readings to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official advisories through September 10 will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on September 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 11?
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
24%
32°C
15%
33°C
9%
34°C or higher
9%
30°C 27%
31°C 23%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$132 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$32 Vol.
6%
28°C
$20 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$16 Vol.
29%
31°C
$7 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
15%
33°C
$0 Vol.
9%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's September 11 high will likely reach 29–31°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current conditions show daily maxima near 28–30°C under high humidity and light southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for the peak rainy period. Trader consensus clusters around these values because monsoon-enhanced moisture and recent trough influences from ex-Tropical Cyclone Krovanh suppress extreme daytime warming, while any brief clearing could push readings to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official advisories through September 10 will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$205End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's September 11 high will likely reach 29–31°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current conditions show daily maxima near 28–30°C under high humidity and light southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for the peak rainy period. Trader consensus clusters around these values because monsoon-enhanced moisture and recent trough influences from ex-Tropical Cyclone Krovanh suppress extreme daytime warming, while any brief clearing could push readings to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official advisories through September 10 will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$205End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's September 11 high will likely reach 29–31°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow, with scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting solar heating. Current conditions show daily maxima near 28–30°C under high humidity and light southwesterly winds, consistent with seasonal norms for the peak rainy period. Trader consensus clusters around these values because monsoon-enhanced moisture and recent trough influences from ex-Tropical Cyclone Krovanh suppress extreme daytime warming, while any brief clearing could push readings to 31–32°C. Updated model runs and official advisories through September 10 will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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