Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Houston on September 10 projects a daily minimum in the upper 70s amid elevated humidity, light southeast winds, and 50% afternoon storm chances tied to sea-breeze convergence and returning tropical moisture. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 78-81°F range while the closely matched 90°F+ and 71°F-or-below contracts reflect uncertainty over overnight cloud cover, rainfall timing, and any subtle high-pressure shifts that could push the low several degrees warmer or cooler than baseline. Historical September 10 averages near 74°F underscore how the current warm, moist pattern elevates implied probabilities for above-normal minima ahead of the next model update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 10?
90°F or higher 69%
71°F or below 67%
78-79°F 46%
72-73°F 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
67%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
39%
90°F or higher
69%
90°F or higher 69%
71°F or below 67%
78-79°F 46%
72-73°F 39%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
$60 Vol.
67%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$14 Vol.
46%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$13 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
39%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
39%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
39%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Houston on September 10 projects a daily minimum in the upper 70s amid elevated humidity, light southeast winds, and 50% afternoon storm chances tied to sea-breeze convergence and returning tropical moisture. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 78-81°F range while the closely matched 90°F+ and 71°F-or-below contracts reflect uncertainty over overnight cloud cover, rainfall timing, and any subtle high-pressure shifts that could push the low several degrees warmer or cooler than baseline. Historical September 10 averages near 74°F underscore how the current warm, moist pattern elevates implied probabilities for above-normal minima ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$87End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Houston on September 10 projects a daily minimum in the upper 70s amid elevated humidity, light southeast winds, and 50% afternoon storm chances tied to sea-breeze convergence and returning tropical moisture. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 78-81°F range while the closely matched 90°F+ and 71°F-or-below contracts reflect uncertainty over overnight cloud cover, rainfall timing, and any subtle high-pressure shifts that could push the low several degrees warmer or cooler than baseline. Historical September 10 averages near 74°F underscore how the current warm, moist pattern elevates implied probabilities for above-normal minima ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Houston on September 10 projects a daily minimum in the upper 70s amid elevated humidity, light southeast winds, and 50% afternoon storm chances tied to sea-breeze convergence and returning tropical moisture. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 78-81°F range while the closely matched 90°F+ and 71°F-or-below contracts reflect uncertainty over overnight cloud cover, rainfall timing, and any subtle high-pressure shifts that could push the low several degrees warmer or cooler than baseline. Historical September 10 averages near 74°F underscore how the current warm, moist pattern elevates implied probabilities for above-normal minima ahead of the next model update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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