Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 6 indicate a low near 20–23°C under clear skies and light northeast winds, driven by stable high pressure and typical early-September coastal moderation. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this range, slightly above the long-term September average minimum of around 18°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal variation due to marine influence. The near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects trader caution around potential model revisions or localized cooling from wind shifts, though no major atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to favor extremes. Updated official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies tomorrow will provide the decisive observational data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
16°C or below 100%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
19°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
26%
18°C
29%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 100%
21°C 50%
22°C 50%
19°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$1 Vol.
29%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 6 indicate a low near 20–23°C under clear skies and light northeast winds, driven by stable high pressure and typical early-September coastal moderation. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this range, slightly above the long-term September average minimum of around 18°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal variation due to marine influence. The near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects trader caution around potential model revisions or localized cooling from wind shifts, though no major atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to favor extremes. Updated official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies tomorrow will provide the decisive observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$161End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 6 indicate a low near 20–23°C under clear skies and light northeast winds, driven by stable high pressure and typical early-September coastal moderation. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this range, slightly above the long-term September average minimum of around 18°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal variation due to marine influence. The near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects trader caution around potential model revisions or localized cooling from wind shifts, though no major atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to favor extremes. Updated official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies tomorrow will provide the decisive observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$161End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 6 indicate a low near 20–23°C under clear skies and light northeast winds, driven by stable high pressure and typical early-September coastal moderation. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this range, slightly above the long-term September average minimum of around 18°C, with minimal precipitation risk and modest diurnal variation due to marine influence. The near-even market split between sub-16°C and 26°C+ outcomes reflects trader caution around potential model revisions or localized cooling from wind shifts, though no major atmospheric changes have emerged in the past 48 hours to favor extremes. Updated official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies tomorrow will provide the decisive observational data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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