Official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station recorded a minimum air temperature of 19°C on September 5, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This verified reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 19°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' access to real-time synoptic data and post-event confirmation from authoritative sources like NOAA. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 18–20°C during transitional autumn patterns, supporting the outcome without notable model divergence or measurement uncertainty. A data revision from the primary station or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain improbable given standard verification protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
19°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$2,746 Vol.
$2,746 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$2,746 Vol.
$2,746 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
$67 Vol.
No
18°C
$132 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,002 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$1,205 Vol.
No
21°C
$35 Vol.
No
22°C
$45 Vol.
No
23°C
$50 Vol.
No
24°C
$50 Vol.
No
25°C
$50 Vol.
No
26°C
$50 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$60 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station recorded a minimum air temperature of 19°C on September 5, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This verified reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 19°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' access to real-time synoptic data and post-event confirmation from authoritative sources like NOAA. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 18–20°C during transitional autumn patterns, supporting the outcome without notable model divergence or measurement uncertainty. A data revision from the primary station or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain improbable given standard verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,746End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station recorded a minimum air temperature of 19°C on September 5, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This verified reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 19°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' access to real-time synoptic data and post-event confirmation from authoritative sources like NOAA. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 18–20°C during transitional autumn patterns, supporting the outcome without notable model divergence or measurement uncertainty. A data revision from the primary station or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain improbable given standard verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,746End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station recorded a minimum air temperature of 19°C on September 5, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light northeast winds. This verified reading aligns precisely with the market's dominant 19°C outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting traders' access to real-time synoptic data and post-event confirmation from authoritative sources like NOAA. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows near 18–20°C during transitional autumn patterns, supporting the outcome without notable model divergence or measurement uncertainty. A data revision from the primary station or use of an alternate reporting site could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain improbable given standard verification protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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