Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Qingdao on September 9, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting cooler continental air under partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup, following several days of similar northerly winds, has kept overnight lows from dropping further while daytime highs remain in the mid-20s. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–18°C outcomes because minimum temperatures remain sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds overnight, with official China Meteorological Administration observations serving as the resolution source. Historical September minima in Qingdao average near 18°C, underscoring the narrow spread in current guidance and the potential for revisions as new model runs incorporate the latest upper-air data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 9?
14°C or below 54%
15°C 48%
16°C 37%
17°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
54%
15°C
48%
16°C
37%
17°C
33%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
27%
14°C or below 54%
15°C 48%
16°C 37%
17°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$12 Vol.
54%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
33%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$12 Vol.
5%
22°C
$12 Vol.
5%
23°C
$12 Vol.
13%
24°C or higher
$24 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Qingdao on September 9, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting cooler continental air under partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup, following several days of similar northerly winds, has kept overnight lows from dropping further while daytime highs remain in the mid-20s. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–18°C outcomes because minimum temperatures remain sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds overnight, with official China Meteorological Administration observations serving as the resolution source. Historical September minima in Qingdao average near 18°C, underscoring the narrow spread in current guidance and the potential for revisions as new model runs incorporate the latest upper-air data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$73End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Qingdao on September 9, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting cooler continental air under partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup, following several days of similar northerly winds, has kept overnight lows from dropping further while daytime highs remain in the mid-20s. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–18°C outcomes because minimum temperatures remain sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds overnight, with official China Meteorological Administration observations serving as the resolution source. Historical September minima in Qingdao average near 18°C, underscoring the narrow spread in current guidance and the potential for revisions as new model runs incorporate the latest upper-air data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts indicates a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Qingdao on September 9, driven by sustained northerly flow advecting cooler continental air under partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. This setup, following several days of similar northerly winds, has kept overnight lows from dropping further while daytime highs remain in the mid-20s. Trader sentiment clusters around 16–18°C outcomes because minimum temperatures remain sensitive to small changes in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds overnight, with official China Meteorological Administration observations serving as the resolution source. Historical September minima in Qingdao average near 18°C, underscoring the narrow spread in current guidance and the potential for revisions as new model runs incorporate the latest upper-air data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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