Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional monsoon patterns drive trader positioning on Lucknow’s September 6 minimum temperature, with models converging on 25–26 °C amid partly to generally cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Persistent high humidity near 85–90 % and overnight cloud cover limit radiational cooling, supporting the market’s narrow clustering around 26 °C while keeping lower outcomes viable if breaks in cloud allow greater nocturnal heat loss. Official guidance notes light to moderate rainfall expected through the period, which historically moderates minimums by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky baselines in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Updated IMD briefings and any late-model runs from the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 52%
23°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
50%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
38%
27°C
50%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
67%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 52%
23°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$10 Vol.
26%
26°C
$18 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
50%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional monsoon patterns drive trader positioning on Lucknow’s September 6 minimum temperature, with models converging on 25–26 °C amid partly to generally cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Persistent high humidity near 85–90 % and overnight cloud cover limit radiational cooling, supporting the market’s narrow clustering around 26 °C while keeping lower outcomes viable if breaks in cloud allow greater nocturnal heat loss. Official guidance notes light to moderate rainfall expected through the period, which historically moderates minimums by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky baselines in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Updated IMD briefings and any late-model runs from the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$28End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional monsoon patterns drive trader positioning on Lucknow’s September 6 minimum temperature, with models converging on 25–26 °C amid partly to generally cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Persistent high humidity near 85–90 % and overnight cloud cover limit radiational cooling, supporting the market’s narrow clustering around 26 °C while keeping lower outcomes viable if breaks in cloud allow greater nocturnal heat loss. Official guidance notes light to moderate rainfall expected through the period, which historically moderates minimums by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky baselines in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Updated IMD briefings and any late-model runs from the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and regional monsoon patterns drive trader positioning on Lucknow’s September 6 minimum temperature, with models converging on 25–26 °C amid partly to generally cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Persistent high humidity near 85–90 % and overnight cloud cover limit radiational cooling, supporting the market’s narrow clustering around 26 °C while keeping lower outcomes viable if breaks in cloud allow greater nocturnal heat loss. Official guidance notes light to moderate rainfall expected through the period, which historically moderates minimums by 1–2 °C relative to clear-sky baselines in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Updated IMD briefings and any late-model runs from the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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