**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate nighttime lows in Jeddah on September 6 around 28–31°C, driven by typical early-September Red Sea coastal conditions with northwest winds, moderate humidity (50–70%), and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Historical averages show September lows declining from ~28°C early in the month toward 26°C later, consistent with current model consensus from agencies tracking pressure systems near 1005–1007 hPa. The market's elevated implied probability on 25°C or below (46%) likely reflects trader weighting of potential model spreads or brief clear-sky enhancements to cooling, while the cluster around 28–30°C captures the baseline range. Stable high-pressure patterns and low precipitation chances (near 0%) support limited day-to-day variability, with any shifts tied to updated wind or cloud forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 6?
30°C 52%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
32°C 50%
25°C or below
44%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
36%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
32°C 50%
25°C or below
44%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
36%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate nighttime lows in Jeddah on September 6 around 28–31°C, driven by typical early-September Red Sea coastal conditions with northwest winds, moderate humidity (50–70%), and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Historical averages show September lows declining from ~28°C early in the month toward 26°C later, consistent with current model consensus from agencies tracking pressure systems near 1005–1007 hPa. The market's elevated implied probability on 25°C or below (46%) likely reflects trader weighting of potential model spreads or brief clear-sky enhancements to cooling, while the cluster around 28–30°C captures the baseline range. Stable high-pressure patterns and low precipitation chances (near 0%) support limited day-to-day variability, with any shifts tied to updated wind or cloud forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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