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icon for Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Yu-jen 94%

Li Wen-liang 3.4%

Yang Cheng-wu 2.3%

Liang Wen-tao 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Chen Yu-jen 94%

Li Wen-liang 3.4%

Yang Cheng-wu 2.3%

Liang Wen-tao 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chen Yu-jen

Chen Yu-jen

$2,988 Vol.

94%

icon for Li Wen-liang

Li Wen-liang

$498 Vol.

3%

icon for Yang Cheng-wu

Yang Cheng-wu

$572 Vol.

2%

icon for Liang Wen-tao

Liang Wen-tao

$304 Vol.

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen secured the Kuomintang nomination for the November 28, 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race after registering as the sole KMT contender in March, with the party center emphasizing her legislative record on cross-strait issues, long-term care, and smart-city development. Recent unification occurred when former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew on September 3 to avoid splitting the KMT vote, following pressure from party figures and family. Multiple independents, including Li Wen-liang and Liang Wen-tao, completed registration by September 4, but Kinmen’s longstanding preference for KMT-aligned candidates in local contests has produced trader consensus around Chen’s position. Potential shifts could stem from late consolidation among independents, turnout patterns in this offshore county, or any last-minute campaign developments before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$4,363
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen secured the Kuomintang nomination for the November 28, 2026 Kinmen County magistrate race after registering as the sole KMT contender in March, with the party center emphasizing her legislative record on cross-strait issues, long-term care, and smart-city development. Recent unification occurred when former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu withdrew on September 3 to avoid splitting the KMT vote, following pressure from party figures and family. Multiple independents, including Li Wen-liang and Liang Wen-tao, completed registration by September 4, but Kinmen’s longstanding preference for KMT-aligned candidates in local contests has produced trader consensus around Chen’s position. Potential shifts could stem from late consolidation among independents, turnout patterns in this offshore county, or any last-minute campaign developments before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$4,363
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Yu-jen" at 94%, followed by "Li Wen-liang" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Yu-jen" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Li Wen-liang" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.