The ongoing federal case charging former FBI Director James Comey with making and transmitting threats against President Trump stems from a 2025 Instagram post and remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment set for September 30 and a trial date in October 2026. No conviction has occurred, and federal sentencing processes typically extend well beyond verdict, rendering a prison term before year-end improbable under standard timelines. Traders' 97.5% consensus on "No" aligns with these procedural realities, prior dismissal of related 2025 charges over prosecutorial appointment issues, and active defense motions citing vindictive prosecution and other constitutional challenges. Late-year conviction followed by expedited sentencing remains a narrow theoretical path that could still shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
$158,226 Vol.
$158,226 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% chance
$158,226 Vol.
$158,226 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal case charging former FBI Director James Comey with making and transmitting threats against President Trump stems from a 2025 Instagram post and remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment set for September 30 and a trial date in October 2026. No conviction has occurred, and federal sentencing processes typically extend well beyond verdict, rendering a prison term before year-end improbable under standard timelines. Traders' 97.5% consensus on "No" aligns with these procedural realities, prior dismissal of related 2025 charges over prosecutorial appointment issues, and active defense motions citing vindictive prosecution and other constitutional challenges. Late-year conviction followed by expedited sentencing remains a narrow theoretical path that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$158,226End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing federal case charging former FBI Director James Comey with making and transmitting threats against President Trump stems from a 2025 Instagram post and remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment set for September 30 and a trial date in October 2026. No conviction has occurred, and federal sentencing processes typically extend well beyond verdict, rendering a prison term before year-end improbable under standard timelines. Traders' 97.5% consensus on "No" aligns with these procedural realities, prior dismissal of related 2025 charges over prosecutorial appointment issues, and active defense motions citing vindictive prosecution and other constitutional challenges. Late-year conviction followed by expedited sentencing remains a narrow theoretical path that could still shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$158,226End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing federal case charging former FBI Director James Comey with making and transmitting threats against President Trump stems from a 2025 Instagram post and remains in early pretrial proceedings, with arraignment set for September 30 and a trial date in October 2026. No conviction has occurred, and federal sentencing processes typically extend well beyond verdict, rendering a prison term before year-end improbable under standard timelines. Traders' 97.5% consensus on "No" aligns with these procedural realities, prior dismissal of related 2025 charges over prosecutorial appointment issues, and active defense motions citing vindictive prosecution and other constitutional challenges. Late-year conviction followed by expedited sentencing remains a narrow theoretical path that could still shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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