Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 elections, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents face term limits, producing open races in states including Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Alaska, where recent ratings classify multiple contests as toss-ups or leans. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 22 and 25 Republican governors because outcomes in these battlegrounds—shaped by candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-level polling—could produce small net shifts in either direction. A handful of additional competitive races, such as Arizona and Wisconsin, add further uncertainty without clear separation in current consensus. Late-cycle developments in these states could still move the final count outside the narrow range now favored by the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated22–23 30%
24–25 27%
<22 20%
26–27 18%
$693,544 Vol.
$693,544 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
20%
22–23
30%
24–25
27%
26–27
18%
28–29
3%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
22–23 30%
24–25 27%
<22 20%
26–27 18%
$693,544 Vol.
$693,544 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<22
$49,535 Vol.
20%
22–23
$9,627 Vol.
30%
24–25
$34,149 Vol.
27%
26–27
$18,158 Vol.
18%
28–29
$558,010 Vol.
3%
30–31
$8,404 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,661 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 elections, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents face term limits, producing open races in states including Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Alaska, where recent ratings classify multiple contests as toss-ups or leans. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 22 and 25 Republican governors because outcomes in these battlegrounds—shaped by candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-level polling—could produce small net shifts in either direction. A handful of additional competitive races, such as Arizona and Wisconsin, add further uncertainty without clear separation in current consensus. Late-cycle developments in these states could still move the final count outside the narrow range now favored by the market.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volume
$693,544End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 elections, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents face term limits, producing open races in states including Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Alaska, where recent ratings classify multiple contests as toss-ups or leans. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 22 and 25 Republican governors because outcomes in these battlegrounds—shaped by candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-level polling—could produce small net shifts in either direction. A handful of additional competitive races, such as Arizona and Wisconsin, add further uncertainty without clear separation in current consensus. Late-cycle developments in these states could still move the final count outside the narrow range now favored by the market.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$693,544End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 ahead of November’s 36 elections, with each party defending 18 seats. Fifteen incumbents face term limits, producing open races in states including Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Alaska, where recent ratings classify multiple contests as toss-ups or leans. Trader probabilities cluster tightly between 22 and 25 Republican governors because outcomes in these battlegrounds—shaped by candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-level polling—could produce small net shifts in either direction. A handful of additional competitive races, such as Arizona and Wisconsin, add further uncertainty without clear separation in current consensus. Late-cycle developments in these states could still move the final count outside the narrow range now favored by the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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