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icon for How many jobs added in September?
Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in September?

icon for How many jobs added in September?
Economy·Macro Indicators

How many jobs added in September?

Oct 3

Oct 3

50k to 100k 27%

100k to 150k 21%

0 to 50k 20%

-50k to 0 14%

Polymarket
NEW

50k to 100k 27%

100k to 150k 21%

0 to 50k 20%

-50k to 0 14%

Polymarket
NEW

<-50k

$248 Vol.

9%

-50k to 0

$337 Vol.

14%

0 to 50k

$370 Vol.

20%

50k to 100k

$314 Vol.

27%

100k to 150k

$262 Vol.

21%

150k to 200k

$262 Vol.

7%

200k+

$460 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent August nonfarm payrolls surged to +162,000—nearly triple consensus—driven by rebounds in leisure/hospitality and local government education after July's contraction, keeping the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% and lifting wage growth modestly to 3.1% year-over-year. This resilience has tempered expectations for September gains amid ongoing drags from immigration-related labor supply constraints, seasonal adjustment quirks, and a broader low-hire environment, with analyst forecasts clustered around 100,000-120,000. The closely bunched Polymarket odds reflect uncertainty over whether the August strength signals sustained momentum or merely statistical payback, particularly as traders weigh the upcoming September CPI release and FOMC meeting that could influence hiring sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThis market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$2,253
End Date
Oct 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent August nonfarm payrolls surged to +162,000—nearly triple consensus—driven by rebounds in leisure/hospitality and local government education after July's contraction, keeping the unemployment rate steady at 4.1% and lifting wage growth modestly to 3.1% year-over-year. This resilience has tempered expectations for September gains amid ongoing drags from immigration-related labor supply constraints, seasonal adjustment quirks, and a broader low-hire environment, with analyst forecasts clustered around 100,000-120,000. The closely bunched Polymarket odds reflect uncertainty over whether the August strength signals sustained momentum or merely statistical payback, particularly as traders weigh the upcoming September CPI release and FOMC meeting that could influence hiring sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmThis market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$2,253
End Date
Oct 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many jobs added in September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50k to 100k" at 27%, followed by "100k to 150k" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"How many jobs added in September?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "How many jobs added in September?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many jobs added in September?" is "50k to 100k" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100k to 150k" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many jobs added in September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.