Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and Chinese meteorological services project a daytime high of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the 62.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting recent warm conditions (prior-day highs near 31–32°C) before a stronger northeasterly shift and cooling expected after September 8. Historical September averages hover near 28°C, so current persistence of above-normal warmth—driven by regional high pressure—supports trader consensus around the upper end of the distribution. Real-time observations and afternoon model updates will refine exact peak readings before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 7?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 7?
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 36%
30°C 5%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
64%
32°C or higher 81%
31°C 36%
30°C 5%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$834 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$803 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$100 Vol.
5%
31°C
$69 Vol.
22%
32°C or higher
$136 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and Chinese meteorological services project a daytime high of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the 62.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting recent warm conditions (prior-day highs near 31–32°C) before a stronger northeasterly shift and cooling expected after September 8. Historical September averages hover near 28°C, so current persistence of above-normal warmth—driven by regional high pressure—supports trader consensus around the upper end of the distribution. Real-time observations and afternoon model updates will refine exact peak readings before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,971End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and Chinese meteorological services project a daytime high of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the 62.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting recent warm conditions (prior-day highs near 31–32°C) before a stronger northeasterly shift and cooling expected after September 8. Historical September averages hover near 28°C, so current persistence of above-normal warmth—driven by regional high pressure—supports trader consensus around the upper end of the distribution. Real-time observations and afternoon model updates will refine exact peak readings before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,971End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including NOAA and Chinese meteorological services project a daytime high of 31–32°C in Zhengzhou on September 7, 2026, under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the 62.5% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting recent warm conditions (prior-day highs near 31–32°C) before a stronger northeasterly shift and cooling expected after September 8. Historical September averages hover near 28°C, so current persistence of above-normal warmth—driven by regional high pressure—supports trader consensus around the upper end of the distribution. Real-time observations and afternoon model updates will refine exact peak readings before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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