Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Met Office guidance point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Wellington on 6 September 2026, with 15 °C emerging as the consensus value. Springtime conditions under a strengthening El Niño pattern are producing variable westerly flows and frontal passages that typically keep daily highs near the seasonal average of 14–15 °C while introducing cloud cover and showers that limit daytime warming. Current runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 17 °C or above, nor a pronounced cold outbreak that would cap them at 14 °C or lower. Frequent model updates through the next 24 hours and official MetService observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 15–16 °C range reflected in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on September 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 6?
15°C 65%
16°C 27%
14°C 5%
17°C 5%
NEW
$21,457 Vol.
NEW
$21,457 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
65%
16°C
27%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
16°C 27%
14°C 5%
17°C 5%
NEW
$21,457 Vol.
NEW
$21,457 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
9°C or below
$199 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$385 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,557 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,120 Vol.
5%
15°C
$4,987 Vol.
65%
16°C
$3,643 Vol.
27%
17°C
$1,743 Vol.
5%
18°C
$854 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Met Office guidance point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Wellington on 6 September 2026, with 15 °C emerging as the consensus value. Springtime conditions under a strengthening El Niño pattern are producing variable westerly flows and frontal passages that typically keep daily highs near the seasonal average of 14–15 °C while introducing cloud cover and showers that limit daytime warming. Current runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 17 °C or above, nor a pronounced cold outbreak that would cap them at 14 °C or lower. Frequent model updates through the next 24 hours and official MetService observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 15–16 °C range reflected in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,457End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Met Office guidance point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Wellington on 6 September 2026, with 15 °C emerging as the consensus value. Springtime conditions under a strengthening El Niño pattern are producing variable westerly flows and frontal passages that typically keep daily highs near the seasonal average of 14–15 °C while introducing cloud cover and showers that limit daytime warming. Current runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 17 °C or above, nor a pronounced cold outbreak that would cap them at 14 °C or lower. Frequent model updates through the next 24 hours and official MetService observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 15–16 °C range reflected in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,457End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Met Office guidance point to a maximum temperature of 14–16 °C in Wellington on 6 September 2026, with 15 °C emerging as the consensus value. Springtime conditions under a strengthening El Niño pattern are producing variable westerly flows and frontal passages that typically keep daily highs near the seasonal average of 14–15 °C while introducing cloud cover and showers that limit daytime warming. Current runs show no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky setup that would push readings to 17 °C or above, nor a pronounced cold outbreak that would cap them at 14 °C or lower. Frequent model updates through the next 24 hours and official MetService observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift the narrow 15–16 °C range reflected in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions