**Trader consensus on 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6, 2026, reflects converging official and model forecasts for a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly sunny skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light to moderate westerly winds, low precipitation chances, and typical coastal moderation, with multiple sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international models projecting highs of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F). Historical September baselines around 29–31°C support this positioning, as current atmospheric stability and lack of anomalous heat or cooling events align with the market-implied outcome. The extremely high probability leaves limited room for revision, though an unexpected strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover could pull the peak to 31°C or below, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated observations and final official readings will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$36,528 Vol.
$36,528 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$36,528 Vol.
$36,528 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
$245 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,190 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,094 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,992 Vol.
100%
33°C
$4,339 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,830 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$698 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6, 2026, reflects converging official and model forecasts for a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly sunny skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light to moderate westerly winds, low precipitation chances, and typical coastal moderation, with multiple sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international models projecting highs of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F). Historical September baselines around 29–31°C support this positioning, as current atmospheric stability and lack of anomalous heat or cooling events align with the market-implied outcome. The extremely high probability leaves limited room for revision, though an unexpected strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover could pull the peak to 31°C or below, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated observations and final official readings will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,528End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6, 2026, reflects converging official and model forecasts for a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly sunny skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light to moderate westerly winds, low precipitation chances, and typical coastal moderation, with multiple sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international models projecting highs of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F). Historical September baselines around 29–31°C support this positioning, as current atmospheric stability and lack of anomalous heat or cooling events align with the market-implied outcome. The extremely high probability leaves limited room for revision, though an unexpected strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover could pull the peak to 31°C or below, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated observations and final official readings will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,528End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6, 2026, reflects converging official and model forecasts for a daytime maximum near that threshold under mostly sunny skies.** Late-summer conditions feature light to moderate westerly winds, low precipitation chances, and typical coastal moderation, with multiple sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international models projecting highs of 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F). Historical September baselines around 29–31°C support this positioning, as current atmospheric stability and lack of anomalous heat or cooling events align with the market-implied outcome. The extremely high probability leaves limited room for revision, though an unexpected strengthening of the sea breeze or increased cloud cover could pull the peak to 31°C or below, while clearer, calmer conditions might allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated observations and final official readings will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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