Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a most probable daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, 2026, under clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean high pressure. This aligns with seasonal outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service showing temperatures 0.5–1.5°C above the 1993–2016 baseline for the month. Consensus across multiple runs places afternoon peaks near 31–33°C, with limited spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C and secondary probability on 33°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or coastal effects introduce the small chance for 34°C, while historical September averages near 30°C provide climatological context for the current positioning. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?
32°C 67%
33°C 36%
34°C 2.4%
31°C <1%
$23,049 Vol.
$23,049 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
67%
33°C
36%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 67%
33°C 36%
34°C 2.4%
31°C <1%
$23,049 Vol.
$23,049 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
$1,311 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,590 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,901 Vol.
67%
33°C
$6,300 Vol.
36%
34°C
$1,300 Vol.
2%
35°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a most probable daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, 2026, under clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean high pressure. This aligns with seasonal outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service showing temperatures 0.5–1.5°C above the 1993–2016 baseline for the month. Consensus across multiple runs places afternoon peaks near 31–33°C, with limited spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C and secondary probability on 33°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or coastal effects introduce the small chance for 34°C, while historical September averages near 30°C provide climatological context for the current positioning. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,049End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a most probable daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, 2026, under clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean high pressure. This aligns with seasonal outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service showing temperatures 0.5–1.5°C above the 1993–2016 baseline for the month. Consensus across multiple runs places afternoon peaks near 31–33°C, with limited spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C and secondary probability on 33°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or coastal effects introduce the small chance for 34°C, while historical September averages near 30°C provide climatological context for the current positioning. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,049End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a most probable daily maximum of 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 7, 2026, under clear skies, light westerly winds, and typical early-September Mediterranean high pressure. This aligns with seasonal outlooks from the Israel Meteorological Service showing temperatures 0.5–1.5°C above the 1993–2016 baseline for the month. Consensus across multiple runs places afternoon peaks near 31–33°C, with limited spread supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C and secondary probability on 33°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or coastal effects introduce the small chance for 34°C, while historical September averages near 30°C provide climatological context for the current positioning. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria throughout the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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