Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 9 high will likely reach 20–21 °C, slightly above the 17.7 °C climatological average, as a ridge builds and southwesterly flow advects milder air. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit modest daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover suppressing temperatures, while dew points near 10 °C limit extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation separating the two leading outcomes. Updated runs from Rosgidromet and international centers over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
21°C 44%
20°C 37%
22°C 11%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
37%
21°C
44%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
2%
21°C 44%
20°C 37%
22°C 11%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
14°C or below
$194 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$99 Vol.
1%
17°C
$37 Vol.
2%
18°C
$13 Vol.
3%
19°C
$94 Vol.
7%
20°C
$125 Vol.
37%
21°C
$346 Vol.
44%
22°C
$325 Vol.
11%
23°C
$225 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$222 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 9 high will likely reach 20–21 °C, slightly above the 17.7 °C climatological average, as a ridge builds and southwesterly flow advects milder air. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit modest daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover suppressing temperatures, while dew points near 10 °C limit extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation separating the two leading outcomes. Updated runs from Rosgidromet and international centers over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,864End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 9 high will likely reach 20–21 °C, slightly above the 17.7 °C climatological average, as a ridge builds and southwesterly flow advects milder air. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit modest daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover suppressing temperatures, while dew points near 10 °C limit extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation separating the two leading outcomes. Updated runs from Rosgidromet and international centers over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,864End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's September 9 high will likely reach 20–21 °C, slightly above the 17.7 °C climatological average, as a ridge builds and southwesterly flow advects milder air. Partly cloudy skies and light winds should permit modest daytime heating without strong mixing or cloud cover suppressing temperatures, while dew points near 10 °C limit extreme values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of peak insolation separating the two leading outcomes. Updated runs from Rosgidromet and international centers over the next 24 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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