Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models show Tel Aviv daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with low precipitation risk. These values align with climatological norms near 29°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns without heatwave anomalies or model divergences. Trader consensus at 62% for 32°C and 38% for 31°C reflects this narrow forecast range, with resolution likely tied to official station maxima; any late-day observational updates could refine implied probabilities before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
32°C 62%
31°C 39%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$26,711 Vol.
$26,711 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
39%
32°C
62%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 39%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$26,711 Vol.
$26,711 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
$245 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,135 Vol.
39%
32°C
$9,193 Vol.
62%
33°C
$2,097 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,830 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$698 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models show Tel Aviv daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with low precipitation risk. These values align with climatological norms near 29°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns without heatwave anomalies or model divergences. Trader consensus at 62% for 32°C and 38% for 31°C reflects this narrow forecast range, with resolution likely tied to official station maxima; any late-day observational updates could refine implied probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$26,711End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models show Tel Aviv daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with low precipitation risk. These values align with climatological norms near 29°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns without heatwave anomalies or model divergences. Trader consensus at 62% for 32°C and 38% for 31°C reflects this narrow forecast range, with resolution likely tied to official station maxima; any late-day observational updates could refine implied probabilities before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,711End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models show Tel Aviv daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 6 under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds of 5–12 km/h, and typical late-summer eastern Mediterranean conditions with low precipitation risk. These values align with climatological norms near 29°C and recent stable high-pressure patterns without heatwave anomalies or model divergences. Trader consensus at 62% for 32°C and 38% for 31°C reflects this narrow forecast range, with resolution likely tied to official station maxima; any late-day observational updates could refine implied probabilities before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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