**Official meteorological forecasts for Qingdao on September 6, 2026, converge on a daily maximum of 30°C under predominantly clear skies and light to moderate northeasterly winds.** Real-time observations and model consensus from regional agencies indicate stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours consistent with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region. This positions 30°C as the market-implied outcome with near-certainty, as trader capital reflects the narrow range between forecast highs of 28–30°C and the absence of factors like heavy precipitation or strong onshore flow that could suppress temperatures. Minor variations in station-specific readings or late-day model adjustments represent the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though current data show limited divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,845 Vol.
$31,845 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$31,845 Vol.
$31,845 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Official meteorological forecasts for Qingdao on September 6, 2026, converge on a daily maximum of 30°C under predominantly clear skies and light to moderate northeasterly winds.** Real-time observations and model consensus from regional agencies indicate stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover, allowing strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours consistent with early September climatology for the coastal Shandong region. This positions 30°C as the market-implied outcome with near-certainty, as trader capital reflects the narrow range between forecast highs of 28–30°C and the absence of factors like heavy precipitation or strong onshore flow that could suppress temperatures. Minor variations in station-specific readings or late-day model adjustments represent the primary realistic scenarios that could alter resolution, though current data show limited divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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