**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official outlooks positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Westerly winds around 15–17 mph, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity near 65–80%, are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent observations on September 5 showed highs near 31°C, and short-range guidance from sources such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS) shows little change, keeping the daily maximum in a narrow band. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, which is reflected in the market’s distribution favoring 31–33°C over lower or higher extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations on September 6 will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 6?
32°C 42%
31°C 31%
33°C 20%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
31%
32°C
42%
33°C
20%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 31%
33°C 20%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$182 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$192 Vol.
1%
29°C
$268 Vol.
2%
30°C
$623 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,178 Vol.
31%
32°C
$1,213 Vol.
42%
33°C
$1,172 Vol.
20%
34°C
$254 Vol.
2%
35°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official outlooks positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Westerly winds around 15–17 mph, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity near 65–80%, are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent observations on September 5 showed highs near 31°C, and short-range guidance from sources such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS) shows little change, keeping the daily maximum in a narrow band. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, which is reflected in the market’s distribution favoring 31–33°C over lower or higher extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations on September 6 will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$6,588End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official outlooks positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Westerly winds around 15–17 mph, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity near 65–80%, are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent observations on September 5 showed highs near 31°C, and short-range guidance from sources such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS) shows little change, keeping the daily maximum in a narrow band. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, which is reflected in the market’s distribution favoring 31–33°C over lower or higher extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations on September 6 will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,588End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from meteorological models and official outlooks positions a maximum of 31–32°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Westerly winds around 15–17 mph, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity near 65–80%, are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent observations on September 5 showed highs near 31°C, and short-range guidance from sources such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models (GFS) shows little change, keeping the daily maximum in a narrow band. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects could shift the exact peak by 1°C, which is reflected in the market’s distribution favoring 31–33°C over lower or higher extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations on September 6 will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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