**Official forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 9–10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and persistent southerly flow advecting cooler air from higher latitudes.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, show light winds shifting northeast later in the day with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, limiting daytime heating. Early spring climatology supports typical September highs around 18°C, but the current cool anomaly aligns with recent observations of below-average temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 11°C as the leading outcome (60.5% implied probability) likely reflects expectations of minor forecast revisions or localized measurement differences ahead of resolution, while lower probabilities for 12°C+ and sub-9°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and observational uncertainty typical of short-range temperature markets. Updated model runs overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 6?
11°C 62%
10°C 21%
12°C 14%
9°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
21%
11°C
62%
12°C
14%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 62%
10°C 21%
12°C 14%
9°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
6°C or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$228 Vol.
1%
9°C
$381 Vol.
5%
10°C
$1,436 Vol.
21%
11°C
$743 Vol.
62%
12°C
$1,804 Vol.
14%
13°C
$376 Vol.
3%
14°C
$185 Vol.
1%
15°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 9–10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and persistent southerly flow advecting cooler air from higher latitudes.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, show light winds shifting northeast later in the day with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, limiting daytime heating. Early spring climatology supports typical September highs around 18°C, but the current cool anomaly aligns with recent observations of below-average temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 11°C as the leading outcome (60.5% implied probability) likely reflects expectations of minor forecast revisions or localized measurement differences ahead of resolution, while lower probabilities for 12°C+ and sub-9°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and observational uncertainty typical of short-range temperature markets. Updated model runs overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,046End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 9–10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and persistent southerly flow advecting cooler air from higher latitudes.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, show light winds shifting northeast later in the day with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, limiting daytime heating. Early spring climatology supports typical September highs around 18°C, but the current cool anomaly aligns with recent observations of below-average temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 11°C as the leading outcome (60.5% implied probability) likely reflects expectations of minor forecast revisions or localized measurement differences ahead of resolution, while lower probabilities for 12°C+ and sub-9°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and observational uncertainty typical of short-range temperature markets. Updated model runs overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,046End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 6 point to a daily maximum near 9–10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, driven by a stable high-pressure system and persistent southerly flow advecting cooler air from higher latitudes.** Multiple models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, show light winds shifting northeast later in the day with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation, limiting daytime heating. Early spring climatology supports typical September highs around 18°C, but the current cool anomaly aligns with recent observations of below-average temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 11°C as the leading outcome (60.5% implied probability) likely reflects expectations of minor forecast revisions or localized measurement differences ahead of resolution, while lower probabilities for 12°C+ and sub-9°C outcomes capture remaining model spread and observational uncertainty typical of short-range temperature markets. Updated model runs overnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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