Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a daily high in the mid-90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most guidance clustering between 94°F and 97°F amid partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance. This range sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F for the date, supported by persistent southerly flow and high humidity that limits overnight cooling while sustaining afternoon heat indices near 104–106°F. Trader consensus on the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins reflects this model agreement and the limited scope for significant cooling from scattered showers. Resolution will hinge on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry observation, with any final forecast adjustments from the evening model runs serving as the last potential catalyst before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on September 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 6?
94-95°F 41%
96-97°F 27%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 7%
NEW
$13,232 Vol.
NEW
$13,232 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
41%
96-97°F
27%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 41%
96-97°F 27%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 7%
NEW
$13,232 Vol.
NEW
$13,232 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
$2,243 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$1,221 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$166 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$912 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$958 Vol.
17%
94-95°F
$3,172 Vol.
41%
96-97°F
$2,876 Vol.
27%
98-99°F
$796 Vol.
7%
100-101°F
$361 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$220 Vol.
1%
104°F or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a daily high in the mid-90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most guidance clustering between 94°F and 97°F amid partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance. This range sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F for the date, supported by persistent southerly flow and high humidity that limits overnight cooling while sustaining afternoon heat indices near 104–106°F. Trader consensus on the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins reflects this model agreement and the limited scope for significant cooling from scattered showers. Resolution will hinge on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry observation, with any final forecast adjustments from the evening model runs serving as the last potential catalyst before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,232End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a daily high in the mid-90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most guidance clustering between 94°F and 97°F amid partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance. This range sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F for the date, supported by persistent southerly flow and high humidity that limits overnight cooling while sustaining afternoon heat indices near 104–106°F. Trader consensus on the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins reflects this model agreement and the limited scope for significant cooling from scattered showers. Resolution will hinge on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry observation, with any final forecast adjustments from the evening model runs serving as the last potential catalyst before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,232End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a daily high in the mid-90s for Austin on September 6, 2026, with most guidance clustering between 94°F and 97°F amid partly cloudy skies and only a slight afternoon storm chance. This range sits modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 93.4°F for the date, supported by persistent southerly flow and high humidity that limits overnight cooling while sustaining afternoon heat indices near 104–106°F. Trader consensus on the 94–95°F and 96–97°F bins reflects this model agreement and the limited scope for significant cooling from scattered showers. Resolution will hinge on the official Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry observation, with any final forecast adjustments from the evening model runs serving as the last potential catalyst before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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