Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts position Atlanta's September 6 high in the mid to upper 90s, with specific guidance centering near 93–97°F amid lingering high pressure and light northwest flow before a backdoor cold front arrives. This keeps readings well above the long-term average high of 85.8°F for the date while remaining below the 97°F record set in 1954. A 20–30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms offers limited cooling potential, and heat indices may still reach the low 100s. The market's heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (44.5%) and 94–95°F (27%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 98°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger persistence of the current heat dome. Updated model runs and the morning observation will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on September 6?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 6?
96-97°F 45%
94-95°F 27%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 13%
NEW
$14,479 Vol.
NEW
$14,479 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
2%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 45%
94-95°F 27%
98-99°F 14%
92-93°F 13%
NEW
$14,479 Vol.
NEW
$14,479 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
$1,623 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,222 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$404 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$771 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$2,123 Vol.
13%
94-95°F
$2,477 Vol.
27%
96-97°F
$2,600 Vol.
45%
98-99°F
$1,614 Vol.
14%
100-101°F
$718 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$469 Vol.
2%
104°F or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts position Atlanta's September 6 high in the mid to upper 90s, with specific guidance centering near 93–97°F amid lingering high pressure and light northwest flow before a backdoor cold front arrives. This keeps readings well above the long-term average high of 85.8°F for the date while remaining below the 97°F record set in 1954. A 20–30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms offers limited cooling potential, and heat indices may still reach the low 100s. The market's heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (44.5%) and 94–95°F (27%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 98°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger persistence of the current heat dome. Updated model runs and the morning observation will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,479End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts position Atlanta's September 6 high in the mid to upper 90s, with specific guidance centering near 93–97°F amid lingering high pressure and light northwest flow before a backdoor cold front arrives. This keeps readings well above the long-term average high of 85.8°F for the date while remaining below the 97°F record set in 1954. A 20–30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms offers limited cooling potential, and heat indices may still reach the low 100s. The market's heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (44.5%) and 94–95°F (27%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 98°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger persistence of the current heat dome. Updated model runs and the morning observation will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,479End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts position Atlanta's September 6 high in the mid to upper 90s, with specific guidance centering near 93–97°F amid lingering high pressure and light northwest flow before a backdoor cold front arrives. This keeps readings well above the long-term average high of 85.8°F for the date while remaining below the 97°F record set in 1954. A 20–30% chance of afternoon thunderstorms offers limited cooling potential, and heat indices may still reach the low 100s. The market's heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (44.5%) and 94–95°F (27%) reflects this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to 98°F-plus outcomes that would require stronger persistence of the current heat dome. Updated model runs and the morning observation will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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