Esthela Damián Peralta leads trader pricing for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race at 66.8% implied probability, reflecting her edge in Morena’s internal selection process ahead of Beatriz Mojica Morga and lower-polling rivals. As a native of Chilpancingo with prior federal roles including legal counsel to the presidency, she registered among 15-plus aspirants in June 2026 for the coalition survey that will determine the nominee. Recent polling from June through early September shows her capturing roughly 24-25% preference among Morena-aligned voters, ahead of Mojica and others, supported by emphasis on security, tourism recovery in Acapulco, and agroindustry. Morena’s dominant statewide standing further bolsters the frontrunner’s position entering the survey phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEsthela Damián Peralta 66.8%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.8%
Mario Moreno Arcos 2.2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 1.0%
$36,364 Vol.
$36,364 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
67%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
28%
Mario Moreno Arcos
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 66.8%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 27.8%
Mario Moreno Arcos 2.2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 1.0%
$36,364 Vol.
$36,364 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
67%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
28%
Mario Moreno Arcos
2%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esthela Damián Peralta leads trader pricing for the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race at 66.8% implied probability, reflecting her edge in Morena’s internal selection process ahead of Beatriz Mojica Morga and lower-polling rivals. As a native of Chilpancingo with prior federal roles including legal counsel to the presidency, she registered among 15-plus aspirants in June 2026 for the coalition survey that will determine the nominee. Recent polling from June through early September shows her capturing roughly 24-25% preference among Morena-aligned voters, ahead of Mojica and others, supported by emphasis on security, tourism recovery in Acapulco, and agroindustry. Morena’s dominant statewide standing further bolsters the frontrunner’s position entering the survey phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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