Congressional skepticism toward any final U.S.-Iran agreement has kept trader odds heavily against approval in 2026. The June memorandum of understanding launched a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz, yet talks produced no comprehensive deal amid persistent clashes and Iranian resistance to inspections or stockpile restrictions. Bipartisan lawmakers have voiced concerns over reported provisions such as a large reconstruction fund and early sanctions easing, while the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act requires transmittal to Congress for potential disapproval resolutions. Symbolic war-powers measures already passed both chambers, and recent threats of renewed U.S. strikes have further clouded prospects for the legislative consensus needed to advance or sustain sanctions relief.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
9% chance
$13,111 Vol.
$13,111 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$13,111 Vol.
$13,111 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Congressional skepticism toward any final U.S.-Iran agreement has kept trader odds heavily against approval in 2026. The June memorandum of understanding launched a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz, yet talks produced no comprehensive deal amid persistent clashes and Iranian resistance to inspections or stockpile restrictions. Bipartisan lawmakers have voiced concerns over reported provisions such as a large reconstruction fund and early sanctions easing, while the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act requires transmittal to Congress for potential disapproval resolutions. Symbolic war-powers measures already passed both chambers, and recent threats of renewed U.S. strikes have further clouded prospects for the legislative consensus needed to advance or sustain sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Volume
$13,111End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Congressional skepticism toward any final U.S.-Iran agreement has kept trader odds heavily against approval in 2026. The June memorandum of understanding launched a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz, yet talks produced no comprehensive deal amid persistent clashes and Iranian resistance to inspections or stockpile restrictions. Bipartisan lawmakers have voiced concerns over reported provisions such as a large reconstruction fund and early sanctions easing, while the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act requires transmittal to Congress for potential disapproval resolutions. Symbolic war-powers measures already passed both chambers, and recent threats of renewed U.S. strikes have further clouded prospects for the legislative consensus needed to advance or sustain sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,111End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional skepticism toward any final U.S.-Iran agreement has kept trader odds heavily against approval in 2026. The June memorandum of understanding launched a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and the Strait of Hormuz, yet talks produced no comprehensive deal amid persistent clashes and Iranian resistance to inspections or stockpile restrictions. Bipartisan lawmakers have voiced concerns over reported provisions such as a large reconstruction fund and early sanctions easing, while the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act requires transmittal to Congress for potential disapproval resolutions. Symbolic war-powers measures already passed both chambers, and recent threats of renewed U.S. strikes have further clouded prospects for the legislative consensus needed to advance or sustain sanctions relief.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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