Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans seeks a second term in Colorado’s 8th District, a northern Denver suburbs battleground that he captured by under one point in 2024. Democrat Manny Rutinel, who defeated state Rep. Shannon Bird in the June 30 primary, now faces Evans in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting its near-even partisan balance and the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party. Recent polling averages and fundraising reports show Rutinel competitive or slightly ahead, while outside spending from both parties underscores the race’s national importance for House control. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 78 percent aligns with these structural and campaign factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-08 House Election Winner
CO-08 House Election Winner
$15,639 Vol.
$15,639 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
22%
$15,639 Vol.
$15,639 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,328 Vol.
78%
Republican Party
$7,310 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans seeks a second term in Colorado’s 8th District, a northern Denver suburbs battleground that he captured by under one point in 2024. Democrat Manny Rutinel, who defeated state Rep. Shannon Bird in the June 30 primary, now faces Evans in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting its near-even partisan balance and the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party. Recent polling averages and fundraising reports show Rutinel competitive or slightly ahead, while outside spending from both parties underscores the race’s national importance for House control. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 78 percent aligns with these structural and campaign factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$15,639End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans seeks a second term in Colorado’s 8th District, a northern Denver suburbs battleground that he captured by under one point in 2024. Democrat Manny Rutinel, who defeated state Rep. Shannon Bird in the June 30 primary, now faces Evans in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting its near-even partisan balance and the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party. Recent polling averages and fundraising reports show Rutinel competitive or slightly ahead, while outside spending from both parties underscores the race’s national importance for House control. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 78 percent aligns with these structural and campaign factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,639End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gabe Evans seeks a second term in Colorado’s 8th District, a northern Denver suburbs battleground that he captured by under one point in 2024. Democrat Manny Rutinel, who defeated state Rep. Shannon Bird in the June 30 primary, now faces Evans in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting its near-even partisan balance and the typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party. Recent polling averages and fundraising reports show Rutinel competitive or slightly ahead, while outside spending from both parties underscores the race’s national importance for House control. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 78 percent aligns with these structural and campaign factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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