Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and Neguse’s 68% margin in 2024. The north-central Colorado district, encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins and surrounding counties, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins for years. Neguse faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election against Republican primary winner Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate, plus a Libertarian. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, extreme turnout swings, or broader national realignments, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages anchor current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-02 House Election Winner
CO-02 House Election Winner
$40,478 Vol.
$40,478 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$40,478 Vol.
$40,478 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,137 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$21,341 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and Neguse’s 68% margin in 2024. The north-central Colorado district, encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins and surrounding counties, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins for years. Neguse faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election against Republican primary winner Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate, plus a Libertarian. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, extreme turnout swings, or broader national realignments, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages anchor current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$40,478End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and Neguse’s 68% margin in 2024. The north-central Colorado district, encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins and surrounding counties, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins for years. Neguse faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election against Republican primary winner Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate, plus a Libertarian. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, extreme turnout swings, or broader national realignments, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages anchor current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,478End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the area’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+20 partisan voting index and Neguse’s 68% margin in 2024. The north-central Colorado district, encompassing Boulder, Fort Collins and surrounding counties, has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins for years. Neguse faces no primary opposition and enters the November general election against Republican primary winner Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate, plus a Libertarian. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Low-probability shifts could arise from late scandals, extreme turnout swings, or broader national realignments, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages anchor current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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