José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, holds a commanding position in the November 15, 2026, race under Cape Verde’s two-round system. His party’s narrow parliamentary majority secured in May 2026, followed by the installation of a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced institutional alignment and party infrastructure ahead of the presidential contest. Opposition candidates from the MpD, including declared contenders Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, face structural disadvantages in a contest where registered voters in Cape Verde and the diaspora participate. Minor or independent names listed at low prices reflect limited signature thresholds, late registration timelines, and historical precedent favoring the two major parties. With roughly two months until the first round, trader pricing centers on Neves’ re-election prospects absent major shifts in coalition dynamics or voter turnout patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCape Verde Presidential Election Winner
Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner
José Maria Neves 78%
Joana Rosa 5.5%
Janine Lélis 3.1%
Casimiro de Pina 2.1%
$20,815 Vol.
$20,815 Vol.
Nov 15, 2026
José Maria Neves
78%
Joana Rosa
5%
Janine Lélis
3%
Casimiro de Pina
2%
Péricles Tavares
2%
Milton Paiva
1%
Fernando Delgado
1%
José Maria Neves 78%
Joana Rosa 5.5%
Janine Lélis 3.1%
Casimiro de Pina 2.1%
$20,815 Vol.
$20,815 Vol.
Nov 15, 2026
José Maria Neves
$13,880 Vol.
78%
Joana Rosa
$1,898 Vol.
5%
Janine Lélis
$2,856 Vol.
3%
Casimiro de Pina
$640 Vol.
2%
Péricles Tavares
$772 Vol.
2%
Milton Paiva
$394 Vol.
1%
Fernando Delgado
$375 Vol.
1%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, holds a commanding position in the November 15, 2026, race under Cape Verde’s two-round system. His party’s narrow parliamentary majority secured in May 2026, followed by the installation of a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced institutional alignment and party infrastructure ahead of the presidential contest. Opposition candidates from the MpD, including declared contenders Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, face structural disadvantages in a contest where registered voters in Cape Verde and the diaspora participate. Minor or independent names listed at low prices reflect limited signature thresholds, late registration timelines, and historical precedent favoring the two major parties. With roughly two months until the first round, trader pricing centers on Neves’ re-election prospects absent major shifts in coalition dynamics or voter turnout patterns.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
Volume
$20,815End Date
Nov 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, holds a commanding position in the November 15, 2026, race under Cape Verde’s two-round system. His party’s narrow parliamentary majority secured in May 2026, followed by the installation of a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced institutional alignment and party infrastructure ahead of the presidential contest. Opposition candidates from the MpD, including declared contenders Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, face structural disadvantages in a contest where registered voters in Cape Verde and the diaspora participate. Minor or independent names listed at low prices reflect limited signature thresholds, late registration timelines, and historical precedent favoring the two major parties. With roughly two months until the first round, trader pricing centers on Neves’ re-election prospects absent major shifts in coalition dynamics or voter turnout patterns.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$20,815End Date
Nov 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president elected in 2021, holds a commanding position in the November 15, 2026, race under Cape Verde’s two-round system. His party’s narrow parliamentary majority secured in May 2026, followed by the installation of a PAICV prime minister, has reinforced institutional alignment and party infrastructure ahead of the presidential contest. Opposition candidates from the MpD, including declared contenders Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa, face structural disadvantages in a contest where registered voters in Cape Verde and the diaspora participate. Minor or independent names listed at low prices reflect limited signature thresholds, late registration timelines, and historical precedent favoring the two major parties. With roughly two months until the first round, trader pricing centers on Neves’ re-election prospects absent major shifts in coalition dynamics or voter turnout patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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