Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 88% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market because Morena’s national leadership formally designated him in late August 2026 as the party’s coordinator for the 2027 race, following an internal survey and endorsement from outgoing governor Layda Sansores. As the three-term mayor of Ciudad del Carmen with prior PAN experience, he consolidated support within the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance, which leads state-level party identification polls by double digits. Opposition figures such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano and various PRI and PAN aspirants remain at single-digit or lower probabilities, reflecting the coalition’s structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts that would narrow the gap ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 5.9%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre <1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón <1%
$27,116 Vol.
$27,116 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
6%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Carlos Ucán Yam
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus 88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar 5.9%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre <1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón <1%
$27,116 Vol.
$27,116 Vol.
Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus
88%
Eliseo Fernández Montúfar
6%
Biby Rabelo de la Torre
1%
Daniel Barreda Pavón
1%
Carlos Ucán Yam
<1%
Rosario Cruz Hernández
<1%
Armando Toledo Jamit
<1%
Christian Castro Bello
<1%
Pablo Angulo Briceño
<1%
Nelly Márquez Zapata
<1%
Yolanda Valladares Valle
<1%
Liz Hernández Romero
<1%
Andrés Fernández del Valle
<1%
Ricardo Medina Farfán
<1%
Salvador Farías González
<1%
Dulce Dorantes Cervera
<1%
Aníbal Ostoa Ortega
<1%
Martina Kantún Can
<1%
Rocío Abreu Artiñano
<1%
Gerardo Sánchez Sansores
<1%
Ariana Rejón Lara
<1%
Karla Guadalupe Toledo Zamora
<1%
Paul Arce Ontiveros
<1%
Laura Baqueiro Ramos
<1%
Emilio Lara Calderón
<1%
Francisco Farías Bailón
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Campeche gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Campeche and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Campeche and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus holds an 88% implied probability in the Campeche governor election market because Morena’s national leadership formally designated him in late August 2026 as the party’s coordinator for the 2027 race, following an internal survey and endorsement from outgoing governor Layda Sansores. As the three-term mayor of Ciudad del Carmen with prior PAN experience, he consolidated support within the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance, which leads state-level party identification polls by double digits. Opposition figures such as Eliseo Fernández Montúfar of Movimiento Ciudadano and various PRI and PAN aspirants remain at single-digit or lower probabilities, reflecting the coalition’s structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts that would narrow the gap ahead of the June 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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