The Aguascalientes gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the June 2027 vote, with PAN retaining a structural edge in a state it has governed for years while Morena narrows the gap through national momentum and expanded social programs. Recent surveys from mid-2026 placed PAN identification near 42-46% and Morena between 25-42%, producing head-to-head matchups between leading figures that differ by just a few points. Antonio Martín del Campo holds a clear advantage in PAN internal preferences, while Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez was formally designated Morena’s candidate in late August after prevailing in party surveys. Other aspirants, including Leonardo Montañez Castro and various Movimiento Ciudadano or PRI names, register lower single-digit or negligible support. Further candidate consolidation, alliance formations, and any shifts in turnout or economic conditions could widen or close the current narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAguascalientes Governor Election Winner
Antonio Martín del Campo 35%
Leonardo Montañez Castro 33%
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 33%
Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo <1%
$47,701 Vol.
$47,701 Vol.

Antonio Martín del Campo
35%

Leonardo Montañez Castro
33%

Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez
33%

Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo
<1%

Kendor Macías
<1%

Leticia Olivares
<1%

Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas
<1%

Aldo Ruiz Sánchez
<1%

Anayeli Muñoz Moreno
<1%

Karla Arely Espinoza
<1%

Arturo Ávila Anaya
<1%

Salma Luévano Luna
<1%

Genny Janeth López Valenzuela
<1%

Ana Gómez Calzada
<1%

Lorena Martínez Rodríguez
<1%
Antonio Martín del Campo 35%
Leonardo Montañez Castro 33%
Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez 33%
Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo <1%
$47,701 Vol.
$47,701 Vol.

Antonio Martín del Campo
35%

Leonardo Montañez Castro
33%

Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez
33%

Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo
<1%

Kendor Macías
<1%

Leticia Olivares
<1%

Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas
<1%

Aldo Ruiz Sánchez
<1%

Anayeli Muñoz Moreno
<1%

Karla Arely Espinoza
<1%

Arturo Ávila Anaya
<1%

Salma Luévano Luna
<1%

Genny Janeth López Valenzuela
<1%

Ana Gómez Calzada
<1%

Lorena Martínez Rodríguez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Aguascalientes gubernatorial race remains tightly contested ahead of the June 2027 vote, with PAN retaining a structural edge in a state it has governed for years while Morena narrows the gap through national momentum and expanded social programs. Recent surveys from mid-2026 placed PAN identification near 42-46% and Morena between 25-42%, producing head-to-head matchups between leading figures that differ by just a few points. Antonio Martín del Campo holds a clear advantage in PAN internal preferences, while Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez was formally designated Morena’s candidate in late August after prevailing in party surveys. Other aspirants, including Leonardo Montañez Castro and various Movimiento Ciudadano or PRI names, register lower single-digit or negligible support. Further candidate consolidation, alliance formations, and any shifts in turnout or economic conditions could widen or close the current narrow margins reflected in trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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