Recent Swedish polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as clear front-runners, leaving a tight cluster of Centre, Greens, Left, and Christian Democrats in the 6-8% range for the remaining seats. With the September 13 election one week away, minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' support—driven by bloc-level tightening between left and right coalitions and limited differentiation on cost-of-living or security issues—keep sixth-place probabilities closely matched. Traders price the Centre highest among contenders, followed by Greens and Christian Democrats, while major parties show negligible odds. Late campaign events, differential turnout among smaller-party voters, or final-week polling shifts could reorder this group before results finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
Centre Party (C) 39%
Green Party (MP) 30%
Christian Democrats (KD) 20%
Left Party (V) 13%
$27,380 Vol.
$27,380 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Centre Party (C)
39%
Green Party (MP)
30%
Christian Democrats (KD)
20%
Left Party (V)
13%
Liberals (L)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
Moderate Party (M)
<1%
Örebropartiet (ÖP)
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Centre Party (C) 39%
Green Party (MP) 30%
Christian Democrats (KD) 20%
Left Party (V) 13%
$27,380 Vol.
$27,380 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Centre Party (C)
$7,264 Vol.
39%
Green Party (MP)
$6,786 Vol.
30%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$6,312 Vol.
20%
Left Party (V)
$1,666 Vol.
13%
Liberals (L)
$994 Vol.
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$770 Vol.
<1%
Moderate Party (M)
$706 Vol.
<1%
Örebropartiet (ÖP)
$305 Vol.
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,108 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$469 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as clear front-runners, leaving a tight cluster of Centre, Greens, Left, and Christian Democrats in the 6-8% range for the remaining seats. With the September 13 election one week away, minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' support—driven by bloc-level tightening between left and right coalitions and limited differentiation on cost-of-living or security issues—keep sixth-place probabilities closely matched. Traders price the Centre highest among contenders, followed by Greens and Christian Democrats, while major parties show negligible odds. Late campaign events, differential turnout among smaller-party voters, or final-week polling shifts could reorder this group before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ET
Volume
$27,380End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as clear front-runners, leaving a tight cluster of Centre, Greens, Left, and Christian Democrats in the 6-8% range for the remaining seats. With the September 13 election one week away, minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' support—driven by bloc-level tightening between left and right coalitions and limited differentiation on cost-of-living or security issues—keep sixth-place probabilities closely matched. Traders price the Centre highest among contenders, followed by Greens and Christian Democrats, while major parties show negligible odds. Late campaign events, differential turnout among smaller-party voters, or final-week polling shifts could reorder this group before results finalize.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$27,380End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling averages place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates as clear front-runners, leaving a tight cluster of Centre, Greens, Left, and Christian Democrats in the 6-8% range for the remaining seats. With the September 13 election one week away, minor fluctuations in these mid-tier parties' support—driven by bloc-level tightening between left and right coalitions and limited differentiation on cost-of-living or security issues—keep sixth-place probabilities closely matched. Traders price the Centre highest among contenders, followed by Greens and Christian Democrats, while major parties show negligible odds. Late campaign events, differential turnout among smaller-party voters, or final-week polling shifts could reorder this group before results finalize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions