Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead at roughly 29%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19-20% and the Moderate Party around 17%. This consistent ordering across multiple pollsters has anchored trader consensus on third place. The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the overall gap with the centre-left opposition in recent surveys, yet the Social Democrats remain well ahead of the Sweden Democrats, while the Moderates hold steady in third with limited movement among smaller parties such as the Left, Centre, Greens and Christian Democrats. Late-campaign focus on the economy, crime and immigration has not altered the established hierarchy in available data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 80%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 19%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$70,679 Vol.
$70,679 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
19%
Moderate Party (M)
80%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 80%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 19%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$70,679 Vol.
$70,679 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,498 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$13,568 Vol.
19%
Moderate Party (M)
$26,869 Vol.
80%
Centre Party (C)
$4,842 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$6,104 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$4,612 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead at roughly 29%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19-20% and the Moderate Party around 17%. This consistent ordering across multiple pollsters has anchored trader consensus on third place. The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the overall gap with the centre-left opposition in recent surveys, yet the Social Democrats remain well ahead of the Sweden Democrats, while the Moderates hold steady in third with limited movement among smaller parties such as the Left, Centre, Greens and Christian Democrats. Late-campaign focus on the economy, crime and immigration has not altered the established hierarchy in available data.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$70,679End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead at roughly 29%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19-20% and the Moderate Party around 17%. This consistent ordering across multiple pollsters has anchored trader consensus on third place. The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the overall gap with the centre-left opposition in recent surveys, yet the Social Democrats remain well ahead of the Sweden Democrats, while the Moderates hold steady in third with limited movement among smaller parties such as the Left, Centre, Greens and Christian Democrats. Late-campaign focus on the economy, crime and immigration has not altered the established hierarchy in available data.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$70,679End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead at roughly 29%, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 19-20% and the Moderate Party around 17%. This consistent ordering across multiple pollsters has anchored trader consensus on third place. The right-leaning bloc has narrowed the overall gap with the centre-left opposition in recent surveys, yet the Social Democrats remain well ahead of the Sweden Democrats, while the Moderates hold steady in third with limited movement among smaller parties such as the Left, Centre, Greens and Christian Democrats. Late-campaign focus on the economy, crime and immigration has not altered the established hierarchy in available data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions