Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Southeast Queens district carries a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and delivered Meeks 72.9% of the vote in 2024. All major rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following uncontested June primaries. Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising lead while the Republican nominee reports no campaign funds. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. An outcome shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually large national Republican surge within the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$62,526 Vol.
$62,526 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$62,526 Vol.
$62,526 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,339 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$41,187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Southeast Queens district carries a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and delivered Meeks 72.9% of the vote in 2024. All major rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following uncontested June primaries. Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising lead while the Republican nominee reports no campaign funds. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. An outcome shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually large national Republican surge within the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$62,526End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Southeast Queens district carries a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and delivered Meeks 72.9% of the vote in 2024. All major rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following uncontested June primaries. Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising lead while the Republican nominee reports no campaign funds. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. An outcome shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually large national Republican surge within the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$62,526End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, faces Republican George Marsh in New York’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The Southeast Queens district carries a strongly Democratic Partisan Voter Index and delivered Meeks 72.9% of the vote in 2024. All major rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following uncontested June primaries. Meeks maintains a substantial fundraising lead while the Republican nominee reports no campaign funds. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or recent district-altering events, underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. An outcome shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health crisis, or unusually large national Republican surge within the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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