Spain’s minority government under Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and allies, which prompted a non-binding June 2026 congressional resolution (178-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote, backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts. Sánchez has rejected these demands, reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, and declined to call early elections, while governing without a stable majority since Junts withdrew legislative support in late 2025. Spain’s constructive no-confidence mechanism requires an absolute majority plus an agreed alternative prime minister, a threshold the fragmented opposition has not yet reached. Parliament reconvenes in September amid budget disputes and ongoing probes, yet Sánchez’s control of PSOE timing and the absence of viable replacement arithmetic continue to limit prospects for a formal motion succeeding before the 2027 election deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$19,155 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
24%
$19,155 Vol.
December 31
$4,788 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain’s minority government under Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and allies, which prompted a non-binding June 2026 congressional resolution (178-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote, backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts. Sánchez has rejected these demands, reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, and declined to call early elections, while governing without a stable majority since Junts withdrew legislative support in late 2025. Spain’s constructive no-confidence mechanism requires an absolute majority plus an agreed alternative prime minister, a threshold the fragmented opposition has not yet reached. Parliament reconvenes in September amid budget disputes and ongoing probes, yet Sánchez’s control of PSOE timing and the absence of viable replacement arithmetic continue to limit prospects for a formal motion succeeding before the 2027 election deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$19,155End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain’s minority government under Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and allies, which prompted a non-binding June 2026 congressional resolution (178-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote, backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts. Sánchez has rejected these demands, reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, and declined to call early elections, while governing without a stable majority since Junts withdrew legislative support in late 2025. Spain’s constructive no-confidence mechanism requires an absolute majority plus an agreed alternative prime minister, a threshold the fragmented opposition has not yet reached. Parliament reconvenes in September amid budget disputes and ongoing probes, yet Sánchez’s control of PSOE timing and the absence of viable replacement arithmetic continue to limit prospects for a formal motion succeeding before the 2027 election deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,155End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain’s minority government under Pedro Sánchez faces sustained pressure from corruption investigations involving PSOE figures and allies, which prompted a non-binding June 2026 congressional resolution (178-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote, backed by the PP, Vox, and Junts. Sánchez has rejected these demands, reaffirmed his intent to remain in office, and declined to call early elections, while governing without a stable majority since Junts withdrew legislative support in late 2025. Spain’s constructive no-confidence mechanism requires an absolute majority plus an agreed alternative prime minister, a threshold the fragmented opposition has not yet reached. Parliament reconvenes in September amid budget disputes and ongoing probes, yet Sánchez’s control of PSOE timing and the absence of viable replacement arithmetic continue to limit prospects for a formal motion succeeding before the 2027 election deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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