Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in Panama City's overnight low on September 6, with leading outcomes clustered between 20–26°C. In the tropical rainy season, the daily minimum typically occurs near dawn and depends on radiative cooling under variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 90%. Clearer intervals could enhance longwave radiation loss and push readings toward 22°C or below, while persistent cloudiness and light rain suppress cooling to hold the low near 25°C. Recent model guidance shows mixed steering patterns and dew points around 24°C that limit further drops, consistent with historical September baselines of 23–25°C. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 6?
20°C or below 97%
22°C 88%
25°C 46%
26°C 46%
$256 Vol.
$256 Vol.
20°C or below
97%
21°C
6%
22°C
88%
23°C
24%
24°C
45%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 97%
22°C 88%
25°C 46%
26°C 46%
$256 Vol.
$256 Vol.
20°C or below
97%
21°C
6%
22°C
88%
23°C
24%
24°C
45%
25°C
46%
26°C
46%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment reflects substantial uncertainty in Panama City's overnight low on September 6, with leading outcomes clustered between 20–26°C. In the tropical rainy season, the daily minimum typically occurs near dawn and depends on radiative cooling under variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms and high humidity near 90%. Clearer intervals could enhance longwave radiation loss and push readings toward 22°C or below, while persistent cloudiness and light rain suppress cooling to hold the low near 25°C. Recent model guidance shows mixed steering patterns and dew points around 24°C that limit further drops, consistent with historical September baselines of 23–25°C. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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