Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 6 near 19–22°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, where overnight lows typically range 17–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. However, the market-implied 50% probability on 12°C or below reflects notable uncertainty in short-range model guidance, including potential shifts in steering flows, humidity levels, or localized radiative cooling that could produce sharper overnight drops. Key upcoming data releases from updated numerical weather prediction runs will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer consensus or allow for greater cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 6?
12°C or below 100%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
12°C or below
100%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
50%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
12°C or below 100%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 6 near 19–22°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, where overnight lows typically range 17–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. However, the market-implied 50% probability on 12°C or below reflects notable uncertainty in short-range model guidance, including potential shifts in steering flows, humidity levels, or localized radiative cooling that could produce sharper overnight drops. Key upcoming data releases from updated numerical weather prediction runs will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer consensus or allow for greater cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 6 near 19–22°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, where overnight lows typically range 17–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. However, the market-implied 50% probability on 12°C or below reflects notable uncertainty in short-range model guidance, including potential shifts in steering flows, humidity levels, or localized radiative cooling that could produce sharper overnight drops. Key upcoming data releases from updated numerical weather prediction runs will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer consensus or allow for greater cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 6 near 19–22°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds. This aligns with early-September climatology, where overnight lows typically range 17–21°C amid transitional autumn patterns. However, the market-implied 50% probability on 12°C or below reflects notable uncertainty in short-range model guidance, including potential shifts in steering flows, humidity levels, or localized radiative cooling that could produce sharper overnight drops. Key upcoming data releases from updated numerical weather prediction runs will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the warmer consensus or allow for greater cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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