United Russia holds a commanding position in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency, control of the regional executive under Governor Artur Parfenchikov, and established dominance in the mixed electoral system of party-list and single-mandate seats. The party enters the 18–20 September 2026 vote with a recent majority and benefits from streamlined candidate registration and alignment with federal structures, while opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups remain fragmented with limited recent gains. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the parallel national Duma contest. Potential shifts would require unusually low turnout among core supporters or coordinated opposition advances in specific constituencies, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 96.3%
Rodina 1.4%
LDPR 1.3%
CPRF 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
96%
Rodina
1%
LDPR
1%
CPRF
1%
New People
1%
Yabloko
1%
The Greens
1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.3%
Rodina 1.4%
LDPR 1.3%
CPRF 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$719 Vol.
96%
Rodina
$665 Vol.
1%
LDPR
$446 Vol.
1%
CPRF
$288 Vol.
1%
New People
$435 Vol.
1%
Yabloko
$344 Vol.
1%
The Greens
$315 Vol.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$217 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$234 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$234 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency, control of the regional executive under Governor Artur Parfenchikov, and established dominance in the mixed electoral system of party-list and single-mandate seats. The party enters the 18–20 September 2026 vote with a recent majority and benefits from streamlined candidate registration and alignment with federal structures, while opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups remain fragmented with limited recent gains. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the parallel national Duma contest. Potential shifts would require unusually low turnout among core supporters or coordinated opposition advances in specific constituencies, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$3,897End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency, control of the regional executive under Governor Artur Parfenchikov, and established dominance in the mixed electoral system of party-list and single-mandate seats. The party enters the 18–20 September 2026 vote with a recent majority and benefits from streamlined candidate registration and alignment with federal structures, while opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups remain fragmented with limited recent gains. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the parallel national Duma contest. Potential shifts would require unusually low turnout among core supporters or coordinated opposition advances in specific constituencies, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$3,897End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the Karelia Legislative Assembly election due to its incumbency, control of the regional executive under Governor Artur Parfenchikov, and established dominance in the mixed electoral system of party-list and single-mandate seats. The party enters the 18–20 September 2026 vote with a recent majority and benefits from streamlined candidate registration and alignment with federal structures, while opposition parties including CPRF, LDPR, and smaller groups remain fragmented with limited recent gains. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the parallel national Duma contest. Potential shifts would require unusually low turnout among core supporters or coordinated opposition advances in specific constituencies, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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