Japan’s government has responded to the U.S. PURSUE releases of UAP files—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with analysis and coordination rather than reciprocal disclosure. Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that any release of Japanese-held material would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralizing UAP data collection under the Cabinet Secretariat, yet this addresses internal coordination, not public declassification timelines. Japan has confirmed possession of its own footage but maintains no national UAP disclosure program or scheduled releases through year-end. These procedural and security constraints underpin traders’ assessment that new files are unlikely to be declassified before December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,252 Vol.
$11,252 Vol.
$11,252 Vol.
$11,252 Vol.
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Japan’s government has responded to the U.S. PURSUE releases of UAP files—including incidents near Japanese airspace—with analysis and coordination rather than reciprocal disclosure. Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara stated in May 2026 that any release of Japanese-held material would occur only on a case-by-case basis after weighing risks to intelligence-gathering capabilities. A cross-party parliamentary group proposed centralizing UAP data collection under the Cabinet Secretariat, yet this addresses internal coordination, not public declassification timelines. Japan has confirmed possession of its own footage but maintains no national UAP disclosure program or scheduled releases through year-end. These procedural and security constraints underpin traders’ assessment that new files are unlikely to be declassified before December 31, 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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