Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Miami area recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F on September 6, 2026, locking in market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This value aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 90°F amid typical Atlantic high pressure, light steering winds, and moderate humidity that limits stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous ridging or clear-sky conditions capable of pushing readings into the mid-90s, while scattered showers kept the observed peak suppressed relative to record territory. The only realistic challenges to this resolution would involve post hoc data revisions from the primary reporting station or disputes over the precise geographic boundary defining “Miami,” both of which remain unlikely given standardized verification protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on September 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 6?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$106,158 Vol.
$106,158 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
100%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$106,158 Vol.
$106,158 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
$4,718 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$9,188 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$22,002 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$6,977 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$15,034 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12,510 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$15,207 Vol.
100%
92-93°F
$10,236 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,416 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,370 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$500 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Miami area recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F on September 6, 2026, locking in market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This value aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 90°F amid typical Atlantic high pressure, light steering winds, and moderate humidity that limits stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous ridging or clear-sky conditions capable of pushing readings into the mid-90s, while scattered showers kept the observed peak suppressed relative to record territory. The only realistic challenges to this resolution would involve post hoc data revisions from the primary reporting station or disputes over the precise geographic boundary defining “Miami,” both of which remain unlikely given standardized verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$106,158End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Miami area recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F on September 6, 2026, locking in market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This value aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 90°F amid typical Atlantic high pressure, light steering winds, and moderate humidity that limits stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous ridging or clear-sky conditions capable of pushing readings into the mid-90s, while scattered showers kept the observed peak suppressed relative to record territory. The only realistic challenges to this resolution would involve post hoc data revisions from the primary reporting station or disputes over the precise geographic boundary defining “Miami,” both of which remain unlikely given standardized verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106,158End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in the Miami area recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F on September 6, 2026, locking in market consensus at near-certainty for that bin. This value aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 90°F amid typical Atlantic high pressure, light steering winds, and moderate humidity that limits stronger afternoon heating or convective cooling. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous ridging or clear-sky conditions capable of pushing readings into the mid-90s, while scattered showers kept the observed peak suppressed relative to record territory. The only realistic challenges to this resolution would involve post hoc data revisions from the primary reporting station or disputes over the precise geographic boundary defining “Miami,” both of which remain unlikely given standardized verification protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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