Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to a Los Angeles high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 6, 2026, with morning showers and a 60-70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak readings near the coast. Marine layer influence and onshore flow are capping inland heating, consistent with climatological norms around 76-77°F but tempered by the unsettled pattern. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78-81°F brackets, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 82-83°F. Updated NHC and local office guidance through the afternoon will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 10%
$35,600 Vol.
$35,600 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
3%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 10%
$35,600 Vol.
$35,600 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
67°F or below
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$533 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$569 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,222 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,204 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$6,996 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$9,411 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$5,044 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$4,441 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$2,676 Vol.
3%
86°F or higher
$1,180 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to a Los Angeles high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 6, 2026, with morning showers and a 60-70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak readings near the coast. Marine layer influence and onshore flow are capping inland heating, consistent with climatological norms around 76-77°F but tempered by the unsettled pattern. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78-81°F brackets, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 82-83°F. Updated NHC and local office guidance through the afternoon will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$35,600End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to a Los Angeles high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 6, 2026, with morning showers and a 60-70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak readings near the coast. Marine layer influence and onshore flow are capping inland heating, consistent with climatological norms around 76-77°F but tempered by the unsettled pattern. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78-81°F brackets, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 82-83°F. Updated NHC and local office guidance through the afternoon will provide the final observational data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,600End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models point to a Los Angeles high temperature in the upper 70s to low 80s on September 6, 2026, with morning showers and a 60-70% chance of afternoon thunderstorms moderating peak readings near the coast. Marine layer influence and onshore flow are capping inland heating, consistent with climatological norms around 76-77°F but tempered by the unsettled pattern. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78-81°F brackets, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 82-83°F. Updated NHC and local office guidance through the afternoon will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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