Recent forecast models from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute point to a September 6 high near 15°C in Helsinki, driven by persistent northwest winds and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime warming. This places the outcome squarely in line with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 17.1°C but recent model runs show modest cooling from a stable high-pressure ridge. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 63.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 14°C as secondary options, reflecting tight consensus around observed sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic and minimal model spread for the 24-hour period. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is expected to push readings higher before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 6?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 6?
15°C 64%
16°C 20%
14°C 16%
17°C 3%
NEW
$11,141 Vol.
NEW
$11,141 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
16%
15°C
64%
16°C
20%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 64%
16°C 20%
14°C 16%
17°C 3%
NEW
$11,141 Vol.
NEW
$11,141 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$295 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,115 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,388 Vol.
16%
15°C
$3,753 Vol.
64%
16°C
$1,867 Vol.
20%
17°C
$529 Vol.
3%
18°C
$98 Vol.
1%
19°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$369 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute point to a September 6 high near 15°C in Helsinki, driven by persistent northwest winds and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime warming. This places the outcome squarely in line with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 17.1°C but recent model runs show modest cooling from a stable high-pressure ridge. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 63.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 14°C as secondary options, reflecting tight consensus around observed sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic and minimal model spread for the 24-hour period. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is expected to push readings higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$11,141End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute point to a September 6 high near 15°C in Helsinki, driven by persistent northwest winds and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime warming. This places the outcome squarely in line with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 17.1°C but recent model runs show modest cooling from a stable high-pressure ridge. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 63.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 14°C as secondary options, reflecting tight consensus around observed sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic and minimal model spread for the 24-hour period. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is expected to push readings higher before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,141End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Finnish Meteorological Institute point to a September 6 high near 15°C in Helsinki, driven by persistent northwest winds and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime warming. This places the outcome squarely in line with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average high is 17.1°C but recent model runs show modest cooling from a stable high-pressure ridge. Traders have priced 15°C as the clear favorite at 63.5% implied probability, with 16°C and 14°C as secondary options, reflecting tight consensus around observed sea-surface temperatures in the Baltic and minimal model spread for the 24-hour period. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is expected to push readings higher before sunset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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