Recent forecasts from multiple models, including KMA observations and international guidance, indicate Busan will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on September 6 under persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and low precipitation chances. This places the 29°C outcome as the market leader because traders incorporate a modest warm bias from recent model runs and the tail risk of brief afternoon heating in sheltered urban areas. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, with 2025 records showing occasional spikes above 30°C, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor moderation. Key resolution hinges on official KMA station readings, with any late-day clearing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the 28–29°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 6?
29°C 56%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
31°C 3%
$22,324 Vol.
$22,324 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
24%
29°C
56%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 56%
28°C 24%
30°C 14%
31°C 3%
$22,324 Vol.
$22,324 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
24%
29°C
56%
30°C
14%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including KMA observations and international guidance, indicate Busan will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on September 6 under persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and low precipitation chances. This places the 29°C outcome as the market leader because traders incorporate a modest warm bias from recent model runs and the tail risk of brief afternoon heating in sheltered urban areas. Historical September averages hover around 26°C, with 2025 records showing occasional spikes above 30°C, yet current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures favor moderation. Key resolution hinges on official KMA station readings, with any late-day clearing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the 28–29°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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