**Jaques Wagner holds the strongest position for second place in Bahia’s Senate race, backed by consistent polling showing the two PT candidates—Rui Costa and Wagner—projected to claim the state’s two seats.** Multiple surveys from July and August 2026, including Quaest/Genial and Paraná Pesquisas, place Rui Costa first (typically 22–43% combined intentions) and Wagner second (16–32%), well ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL), who trail in the single digits to mid-20s range depending on methodology. Wagner’s standing has held despite a June 2026 Federal Police operation tied to investigations he denies, with only modest shifts within margins of error. Bahia’s large PT base, high name recognition for the two former governors/ministers, and fragmented opposition support underpin trader consensus on this ordering ahead of the October 4 vote. No major late-breaking developments have altered the pattern in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
Jaques Wagner 63%
Angelo Coronel 16.5%
Rui Costa 14.1%
João Roma 3.5%
$30,166 Vol.
$30,166 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
63%
Angelo Coronel
17%
Rui Costa
14%
João Roma
3%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Jaques Wagner 63%
Angelo Coronel 16.5%
Rui Costa 14.1%
João Roma 3.5%
$30,166 Vol.
$30,166 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jaques Wagner
$19,281 Vol.
63%
Angelo Coronel
$1,506 Vol.
17%
Rui Costa
$4,601 Vol.
14%
João Roma
$989 Vol.
3%
Carlos Sodré
$652 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$570 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$488 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$673 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$654 Vol.
<1%
Professora Delliana
$751 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner holds the strongest position for second place in Bahia’s Senate race, backed by consistent polling showing the two PT candidates—Rui Costa and Wagner—projected to claim the state’s two seats.** Multiple surveys from July and August 2026, including Quaest/Genial and Paraná Pesquisas, place Rui Costa first (typically 22–43% combined intentions) and Wagner second (16–32%), well ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL), who trail in the single digits to mid-20s range depending on methodology. Wagner’s standing has held despite a June 2026 Federal Police operation tied to investigations he denies, with only modest shifts within margins of error. Bahia’s large PT base, high name recognition for the two former governors/ministers, and fragmented opposition support underpin trader consensus on this ordering ahead of the October 4 vote. No major late-breaking developments have altered the pattern in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$30,166End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner holds the strongest position for second place in Bahia’s Senate race, backed by consistent polling showing the two PT candidates—Rui Costa and Wagner—projected to claim the state’s two seats.** Multiple surveys from July and August 2026, including Quaest/Genial and Paraná Pesquisas, place Rui Costa first (typically 22–43% combined intentions) and Wagner second (16–32%), well ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL), who trail in the single digits to mid-20s range depending on methodology. Wagner’s standing has held despite a June 2026 Federal Police operation tied to investigations he denies, with only modest shifts within margins of error. Bahia’s large PT base, high name recognition for the two former governors/ministers, and fragmented opposition support underpin trader consensus on this ordering ahead of the October 4 vote. No major late-breaking developments have altered the pattern in recent weeks.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,166End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Jaques Wagner holds the strongest position for second place in Bahia’s Senate race, backed by consistent polling showing the two PT candidates—Rui Costa and Wagner—projected to claim the state’s two seats.** Multiple surveys from July and August 2026, including Quaest/Genial and Paraná Pesquisas, place Rui Costa first (typically 22–43% combined intentions) and Wagner second (16–32%), well ahead of Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL), who trail in the single digits to mid-20s range depending on methodology. Wagner’s standing has held despite a June 2026 Federal Police operation tied to investigations he denies, with only modest shifts within margins of error. Bahia’s large PT base, high name recognition for the two former governors/ministers, and fragmented opposition support underpin trader consensus on this ordering ahead of the October 4 vote. No major late-breaking developments have altered the pattern in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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