Supreme Court predictions & odds

Politics·Impeach

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

$44.9K Vol.

$976 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

29%

$44.9K Vol.

$976 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Courts

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

$19.1K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

19%

$19.1K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Midterms

North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner

$1.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

79%

Anita Earls (D)

$1.1K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·Supreme Court

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

$22.2K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

39%

December 31

$22.2K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

$1.8K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$1.8K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during RNC Convention?

$14.1K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

90%

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

$14.1K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Politics·Nomination

Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

$4.8K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

19%

James Ho

$4.8K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Politics·Courts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

$4M Vol.

$165K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

40%

June 30, 2027

$4M Vol.

$165K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Politics·Courts

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

$980K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

25%

December 31

$980K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Courts

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

$10.7K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

14%

June 30, 2027

$10.7K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

$4 Vol.

$336 Liq.

Ends in 11 months

56%

$4 Vol.

$336 Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Politics·Courts

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

$87.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$87.6K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

$13.1K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$13.1K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Taxes

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

$44.2K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

$44.2K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Politics·Todd Blanche

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

$13.6K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$13.6K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Court Cases

Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

$1.4K Vol.

$861 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

25%

$1.4K Vol.

$861 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·Courts

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

$1.3K Vol.

$233 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$1.3K Vol.

$233 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Biden

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

$24.6K Vol.

$409 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$24.6K Vol.

$409 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·International Politics

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

$99.4K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

13%

$99.4K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Finance·Fed

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$319K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$319K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Supreme Court .

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Supreme Court that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to June 30, 2027. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Supreme Court predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Supreme Court shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Supreme Court prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Supreme Court prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Supreme Court predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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What types of Supreme Court prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Supreme Court markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Supreme Court prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Supreme Court predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Supreme Court odds?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Supreme Court prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Supreme Court markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Supreme Court prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Supreme Court predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Supreme Court odds?

Can I track Supreme Court predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Supreme Court markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Supreme Court predictions & odds