The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause by a 6-3 vote, with Chief Justice Roberts writing the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson. No petition for rehearing was filed by the July 27 deadline, despite earlier administration statements suggesting one might be submitted. The Court grants rehearings only in rare cases involving overlooked precedent, newly discovered facts, or clear errors, none of which appear present after a full term that included oral argument and a detailed opinion. With the 2025-2026 term concluded and no active case pending on the issue, traders assign very low odds to any grant by December 31. Shifts could still arise from an unanticipated late filing, a related new case reaching the docket, or unforeseen changes in Court composition before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
4% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause by a 6-3 vote, with Chief Justice Roberts writing the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson. No petition for rehearing was filed by the July 27 deadline, despite earlier administration statements suggesting one might be submitted. The Court grants rehearings only in rare cases involving overlooked precedent, newly discovered facts, or clear errors, none of which appear present after a full term that included oral argument and a detailed opinion. With the 2025-2026 term concluded and no active case pending on the issue, traders assign very low odds to any grant by December 31. Shifts could still arise from an unanticipated late filing, a related new case reaching the docket, or unforeseen changes in Court composition before year-end.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,762End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause by a 6-3 vote, with Chief Justice Roberts writing the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson. No petition for rehearing was filed by the July 27 deadline, despite earlier administration statements suggesting one might be submitted. The Court grants rehearings only in rare cases involving overlooked precedent, newly discovered facts, or clear errors, none of which appear present after a full term that included oral argument and a detailed opinion. With the 2025-2026 term concluded and no active case pending on the issue, traders assign very low odds to any grant by December 31. Shifts could still arise from an unanticipated late filing, a related new case reaching the docket, or unforeseen changes in Court composition before year-end.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,762End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, decision in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment’s Citizenship Clause by a 6-3 vote, with Chief Justice Roberts writing the majority opinion joined by Justices Barrett, Sotomayor, Kagan, and Jackson. No petition for rehearing was filed by the July 27 deadline, despite earlier administration statements suggesting one might be submitted. The Court grants rehearings only in rare cases involving overlooked precedent, newly discovered facts, or clear errors, none of which appear present after a full term that included oral argument and a detailed opinion. With the 2025-2026 term concluded and no active case pending on the issue, traders assign very low odds to any grant by December 31. Shifts could still arise from an unanticipated late filing, a related new case reaching the docket, or unforeseen changes in Court composition before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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