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icon for Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

icon for Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

3% chance
Polymarket

$13,637 Vol.

3% chance
Polymarket

$13,637 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high implied probability against Todd Blanche facing disbarment or suspension in New York during 2026 stems primarily from the deliberate timeline of the state's Attorney Grievance Committee process. Multiple formal ethics complaints were lodged with the First Judicial Department in mid-2026 by coalitions of former judges and advocacy groups, citing alleged conflicts of interest, failures to recuse, and conduct tied to his service as acting and confirmed Attorney General, including matters involving prior client representation and Department of Justice actions. Federal judges have referred related findings to the committee, yet no interim sanctions or formal charges have advanced to a hearing outcome as of early September. New York disciplinary proceedings customarily involve extended investigation and review before any suspension or disbarment, making completion within the remaining months of the year improbable absent extraordinary acceleration. Late-breaking court orders or expedited committee decisions on pending referrals represent the principal variables that could still shift the outcome before December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.

Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,637
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high implied probability against Todd Blanche facing disbarment or suspension in New York during 2026 stems primarily from the deliberate timeline of the state's Attorney Grievance Committee process. Multiple formal ethics complaints were lodged with the First Judicial Department in mid-2026 by coalitions of former judges and advocacy groups, citing alleged conflicts of interest, failures to recuse, and conduct tied to his service as acting and confirmed Attorney General, including matters involving prior client representation and Department of Justice actions. Federal judges have referred related findings to the committee, yet no interim sanctions or formal charges have advanced to a hearing outcome as of early September. New York disciplinary proceedings customarily involve extended investigation and review before any suspension or disbarment, making completion within the remaining months of the year improbable absent extraordinary acceleration. Late-breaking court orders or expedited committee decisions on pending referrals represent the principal variables that could still shift the outcome before December 31.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.

Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,637
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 3% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 3¢, the market collectively assigns a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" is 3% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.