Biden predictions & odds

Elections·Governor Races

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

$8.4K Vol.

$289 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

70%

$8.4K Vol.

$289 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·Obama

Obama federally charged before 2027?

$10.7K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$10.7K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1B Vol.

$464K today

$81M Liq.

810

Ends in about 2 years

Josh Shapiro

$1B Vol.

$464K today

$81M Liq.

810

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$913K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Hunter Biden

$1M Vol.

$913K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Maria Corina Machado

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

$179K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$179K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$64.7K Vol.

$393K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

20%

Elon Musk

$64.7K Vol.

$393K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$441K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Andrew Tate

$441K Vol.

$315K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$635K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$635K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·President

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

$93.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$93.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Politics·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$406K Vol.

$350K Liq.

11%

Anthony Fauci

$406K Vol.

$350K Liq.

Politics·Trump

What will Trump say during RNC Convention?

$13.8K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

62%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$13.8K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

$41.1K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

91%

Kathy Hochul

$41.1K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

$1M Vol.

$205K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

71%

Mohammed bin Salman

$1M Vol.

$205K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

$70.7K Vol.

$269 Liq.

16%

Kaitlan Collins

$70.7K Vol.

$269 Liq.

Politics·Biden

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

$24.6K Vol.

$339 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$24.6K Vol.

$339 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump speak to in September?

$101K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

97%

Andy Burnham

$101K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Politics·Trump

JD Vance out as VP by...?

$242K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$242K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

$57 Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

12%

$57 Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

$23.0K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

96%

Claudia Sheinbaum

$23.0K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Elections·Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$703M Vol.

$179K today

$62M Liq.

1,021

Ends in about 2 years

25%

JD Vance

$703M Vol.

$179K today

$62M Liq.

1,021

Ends in about 2 years

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Biden.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Biden that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to Josh Shapiro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Biden predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Biden shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Biden prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Biden prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Biden predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Biden prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Biden markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Biden prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Biden predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Biden odds?

Can I track Biden predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Biden markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Biden predictions & odds