Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, granting over 1,700 pardons and commutations since January 2025, often prioritizing political allies, donors, and advocates connected through informal networks rather than Department of Justice guidelines. Early actions included blanket relief for January 6 defendants and figures tied to 2020 election challenges, followed by targeted grants to individuals with personal or financial links to supporters. Recent batches, such as the 30 clemency actions in early September 2026 covering drug offenders and a Philadelphia union leader, reflect continued emphasis on cases advanced by White House pardon coordinators and external influencers. Market positioning for specific names before 2027 hinges on patterns of access, public advocacy campaigns, and proximity to administration priorities amid ongoing clemency reviews.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$440,879 Vol.
Ryan Salame
25%
Donald Brodie
23%
Roger Stone
23%
Stefan Brodie
23%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Young Thug
11%
Daniel Penny
11%
Steve Bannon
10%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Roger Ver
8%
Bob Menendez
6%
Andrew Tate
6%
Martin Shkreli
6%
Julian Assange
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Diddy
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Edward Snowden
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Antoine Massey
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Himself
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Hunter Biden
2%
Elon Musk
2%
$440,879 Vol.
Ryan Salame
25%
Donald Brodie
23%
Roger Stone
23%
Stefan Brodie
23%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Keonne Rodriguez
15%
Young Thug
11%
Daniel Penny
11%
Steve Bannon
10%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Roger Ver
8%
Bob Menendez
6%
Andrew Tate
6%
Martin Shkreli
6%
Julian Assange
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Diddy
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Edward Snowden
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Antoine Massey
4%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Himself
3%
Do Kwon
3%
Hunter Biden
2%
Elon Musk
2%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, granting over 1,700 pardons and commutations since January 2025, often prioritizing political allies, donors, and advocates connected through informal networks rather than Department of Justice guidelines. Early actions included blanket relief for January 6 defendants and figures tied to 2020 election challenges, followed by targeted grants to individuals with personal or financial links to supporters. Recent batches, such as the 30 clemency actions in early September 2026 covering drug offenders and a Philadelphia union leader, reflect continued emphasis on cases advanced by White House pardon coordinators and external influencers. Market positioning for specific names before 2027 hinges on patterns of access, public advocacy campaigns, and proximity to administration priorities amid ongoing clemency reviews.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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