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icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

$13,455 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$13,455 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for September 30

September 30

$855 Vol.

93%

icon for October 31

October 31

$1,246 Vol.

91%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has continued exercising his constitutional clemency authority throughout his second term, granting pardons, commutations, or reprieves to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025. This includes a batch of 30 clemency actions announced on September 4, 2026, covering drug offenses, bribery, and firearms cases. The White House has relied on an informal network of advocates rather than standard Department of Justice procedures, with batches often tied to specific dates or policy themes. Trader sentiment on near-term markets reflects this pattern of sporadic but recurring grants, alongside any public signals of planned pauses or upcoming executive actions that could alter the pace before resolution dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,455
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has continued exercising his constitutional clemency authority throughout his second term, granting pardons, commutations, or reprieves to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025. This includes a batch of 30 clemency actions announced on September 4, 2026, covering drug offenses, bribery, and firearms cases. The White House has relied on an informal network of advocates rather than standard Department of Justice procedures, with batches often tied to specific dates or policy themes. Trader sentiment on near-term markets reflects this pattern of sporadic but recurring grants, alongside any public signals of planned pauses or upcoming executive actions that could alter the pace before resolution dates.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,455
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 30" at 93%, followed by "October 31" at 91%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" has generated $13.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" is "September 30" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "October 31" at 91%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.