President Donald Trump has continued exercising his constitutional clemency authority throughout his second term, granting pardons, commutations, or reprieves to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025. This includes a batch of 30 clemency actions announced on September 4, 2026, covering drug offenses, bribery, and firearms cases. The White House has relied on an informal network of advocates rather than standard Department of Justice procedures, with batches often tied to specific dates or policy themes. Trader sentiment on near-term markets reflects this pattern of sporadic but recurring grants, alongside any public signals of planned pauses or upcoming executive actions that could alter the pace before resolution dates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$13,455 Vol.

September 30
93%

October 31
91%
$13,455 Vol.

September 30
93%

October 31
91%
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has continued exercising his constitutional clemency authority throughout his second term, granting pardons, commutations, or reprieves to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025. This includes a batch of 30 clemency actions announced on September 4, 2026, covering drug offenses, bribery, and firearms cases. The White House has relied on an informal network of advocates rather than standard Department of Justice procedures, with batches often tied to specific dates or policy themes. Trader sentiment on near-term markets reflects this pattern of sporadic but recurring grants, alongside any public signals of planned pauses or upcoming executive actions that could alter the pace before resolution dates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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